Temporary alert lifted: Iran's men show mercy to Trump
Analysts believe that Trump's statement did not mention military retaliation against Iran, and the crisis between the United States and Iran has temporarily eased. However, the hostile relationship between the two sides has not changed in essence. The game between the two countries in the Middle East will continue, and the situation in the Middle East will continue to be volatile.
The situation eased Trump issued a television speech at the White House on the morning of the 8th, saying that due to early precautionary measures such as decentralized forces and the use of effective early warning systems, no US or Iraqi personnel were injured or killed in the attack, and the base was only damaged. Go to "Minimum Destruction". At present, Iran seems to be "closing", which is a "good thing" for all parties and the world.
Trump said that the US will immediately impose new economic sanctions on Iran and the sanctions will continue until Iran changes its practices. The United States does not want to use force, and its military and economic strength is the best deterrent. He also stated that the United States ’action against the extremist group“ Islamic State ”is in Iran ’s interest, and the United States and Iran should cooperate in this area and other areas of common interest.
James Calafano, a senior analyst at the American Think Tank Heritage Foundation, told Xinhua reporters that Trump's speech was clearly worded: on the one hand, it showed that the United States would not retaliate against Iranian attacks, and on the other hand made it clear that it would continue to punish Iran. Pressure to force Iran to make changes through punitive measures.
Richard Fontaine, chief executive of the new think tank of the United States think tank, believes that, from the perspective of Trump's speech, the most aggressive phase in the latest round of escalation of the US-Iraq confrontation has passed.
Each has its own considerations . Analysts believe that the removal of the Iranian Revolutionary Guard ’s "Holy City Brigade" commander Suleimani by the United States has been the direct reason for the sudden escalation of the US-Iranian confrontation. Fortunately, both parties have their own considerations and events. It has not continued to slide into a state of full-scale conflict.
From Iran ’s perspective, action must be taken on the killing of Suleimani, but the gap between Iran ’s and U.S. military powers is very wide. If a war breaks out, it will be detrimental to Iran, so retaliation must be measured. The Wall Street Journal wrote that the Iranian attack fulfilled two purposes: one was to respond to Iran ’s calls for revenge for Suleimani; the other was to avoid US casualties, as a signal of unwillingness to escalate the conflict.
From the perspective of the United States, facing the pressure of domestic elections and impeachment, Trump might have wanted to show a tough stance on the Iran issue in order to shift the focus of domestic public opinion and add points to his election. But he ordered the killing of Suleimani led to a sharp escalation of the US-Iranian confrontation, which led to criticism from some U.S. congressmen and experts, who said that this reckless move would trigger a new war and keep the United States in the mire of the Middle East. Extricate yourself. And Trump obviously did not want to let the situation get out of control, so this time he took advantage of the trend to "downgrade" and make a clearance for himself.
The chaos is still <br /> Public opinion believes that although the current crisis has eased, it has not changed the situation of US-Iraq confrontation, and the conflict between the United States and Iraq has become more prominent in this crisis. In the future, the chaos in the Middle East will continue.
The United States "Foreign Policy" magazine wrote that despite Iran's claim that retaliation against the United States has ended, Iran's actions in the future may be transferred to "underground", and the United States will conduct "non-equivalent" strikes in new ways and at new locations.
Former US President National Security Assistant Rice believes that the killing of Suleimani was an "unnecessary" mistake and made the situation in the Middle East more complicated. This incident has impacted the United States-led international coalition against "Islamic State" and may eventually lead to the withdrawal of US troops from Iraq.
Clay Ramsay, a researcher at the University of Maryland in the United States, told Xinhua reporters whether Iraq will continue to demand the withdrawal of US troops in the future. This may only be part of the appeal of Shiite groups in Iraq that are linked to Iran, but the presence of the US military has made Iraq a "target", which has made many Iraqis dissatisfied.
The US " Atlantic Monthly" wrote that the Trump administration's Iranian policies are contradictory. On the one hand, Trump showed a tough stance on Iran, withdrew from the Iran nuclear agreement and introduced a series of extreme sanctions in an attempt to crack down on the Iranian economy to force it to yield. On the other hand, Trump has repeatedly stated that he has no intention to open a new battlefield in the Middle East. , Claiming to withdraw US forces from the Middle East. Although senior U.S. government officials have repeatedly stated that the purpose of economic sanctions is to force Iran to "return to the negotiating table", from the current situation, this method has not worked.