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Tomorrow needs to guard against a trend!

Time: January 08, 2020 17:01:48 China Finance
In terms of the ChiNext, the index opened lower and fluctuated early in the morning on Wednesday, and then rushed down before midday. After midday, the index fell slightly to 1858.28 and then rebounded slightly, and weakened again in the late session; the volume could be slightly larger than yesterday. Gold, automotive electronics, and satellite navigation saw the largest gains; Internet celebrities, intellectual property, and eco-agriculture fell the most. According to yesterday ’s evaluation, “the K-line deviation rate on the creation index continues to increase, and the time-sharing indicator continues to overbought; short-term requirements are still relatively strong; after continuing to force a shortfall, we must beware of anti-killing after the main force quickly rises.” Viewpoint, superimposed The impact of external news, the market gap opened lower today, although there are new energy vehicles, Tesla, and defense military industry, but the net red economy, ecological agriculture, etc., which have continued to rise in the early stage, have been fully adjusted. Technology, sub-new stocks The pair fell and dragged down; the trough index opened lower and lower, approaching the 5-day moving average. Technically, the moving average continues to diverge, the daily MACD red column shortens, the D value rises, and the KJ value turns downwards; especially the increase in price declines indicates that the market still has downward momentum. In view of the large amount of over-the-counter funds entering small and medium-sized stocks in the early stage, the next focus will be on whether the index has reached the bottom and stabilized (support at 1830 points), and whether the upside trading volume can be further enlarged; the key to the stability of the index depends on technology, sub-news, biomedicine , new Energy stocks, lithium batteries, reform of central SOEs, venture capital, and other concept stocks that have a greater impact. If two or more types of concept stocks continue to rise, they are expected to stimulate the counter-attack.



In terms of the main board, the Shanghai Index gapped lower on Wednesday morning and was weak in the session; the index fell in the afternoon and gradually bottomed out at 2305.13 points slightly up; the volume can be enlarged compared to yesterday; ship stocks rose sharply, oil and aviation And automobile stocks led the gains; non-ferrous stocks rose slightly, supporting the index; declines in banks, real estate, insurance, and coal stocks gradually expanded, dragging the market down; securities, diversified finance, and the Internet led the decline. According to the review on Tuesday, "the upward trend of the Shanghai Index remains unchanged, but some daily indicators continue to deviate, and the deviation rate continues to increase; the time-sharing indicator has weakened; and today's market price has decreased, which is also a symptom of the lack of upward momentum in the market . Therefore, the market must do one thing on Wednesday-bullish and bearish! "Viewpoint, under the influence of the news, today most of the weighted stocks have all fallen, and the Internet, media and other industries that have surged in the previous period opened lower and lower; leading to the Shanghai Index Low opening fell below 5 averages, and part of the intraday recaptured the previous jump gap. Technically, the MACD red column on the Shanghai stock index is shortened, and the KDJ indicator is down; there is a great possibility that the unfinished gap of 3051-3059 points will be fully covered tomorrow. Based on the previous review of the "Shanghai Stocks Rebate 3050 points can be regarded as low-absorption observation point, 3000-3050 points range is heavy storage low-absorptive area" view, the rebate here does not take into account the unexpected negative impact; and under the negative impact, adjust Time and space may be delayed and increased; but the overall upward trend cannot be affected. Therefore, tomorrow's stepping back to fill the gap cannot be carried out in a gap-to-gap manner, because once an island-shaped reversal trend is formed, it will easily cause large-scale selling in the market, and then drag the index into the downward channel. This is the trend that tomorrow's market needs to guard against!




Strategically, given that both the Main Board and the GEM have been hitting heavy losses today, exceeding yesterday ’s evaluation expectations; therefore, it is recommended that stockholders should only try light positions before there is a clear stop-loss signal; only after the market meets the aforementioned conditions can it be appropriate Increase the position of low suction. The target is still two low (low, low valuation) and high (increased performance) varieties. The specific opportunities are mainly in two types of stocks: first, small and medium-cap growth stocks with excellent performance, low valuation, low, and stagnation; especially in recent years On the listing, there were no new shares or bonus shares on the verge of breaking dividends. The second is the state-owned enterprise reform concept stocks, which are mainly stocks in the military, power, construction, chemical, biomedical , and machinery and equipment industries. At the same time, pay special attention to the low-moving varieties. (Samurai stocks)
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